I do like to have a coffee at Empire State Coffee on Nethergate in Dundee. Whilst in there, a suited gentleman approached me and asked if I was the person who wrote the newsletters about the Dundee property market. We ended up having an interesting chat about the local property market, as he was concerned his daughter would never be able to buy her own property, a place in Dundee she herself can call home.
My latest analysis, using the Register of Scotland Statistics, shows the year on year figures showed the value of residential property in Dundee has increased by 6.7% in the year to the end December 2015, taking the average value of a property in the council area to £134,900.
It gets even more interesting when we see the previous year had seen a drop of 1.1%.
We have talked in many recent articles about the lack of properties being built in Dundee over the last 30 years. This lack of new building has been the biggest factor that has contributed to Dundee property values still being 295.65% according to Zoopla higher than in 1995. At the risk of repeating myself, until the Government addresses this issue, and allows more properties to be built, things will continue to get worse as the UK population grows at just under 500,000 people a year (which is a combination of around 226,000 people because of higher birth rates/people living longer and 259,000 net migration) whilst the country is only building 152,400 properties a year – no wonder demand is outstripping supply.
Another reason intensifying the current level of property values in Dundee, is the fact that people aren’t moving home as much as they used to, meaning fewer properties are coming onto the market for sale, so in consequence, there is a lack of choice of property to buy, meaning people thinking of moving are discouraged from putting their property on the market … thus perpetuating the problem, as the scarcity of possible properties to buy in order to move also deters people from offering their home for sale. This unevenness between demand from would-be purchasers and the number of properties coming on to the market for sale is causing pressures in Dundee (and the rest of the UK).
So what of the future of the Dundee property market and this man’s daughter? I firmly believe the property market in Dundee and the country as a whole is changing its attitude about homeownership. Back in the 1960’s, 70’s, 80’s and 90’s, getting on the property ladder was everything. Since the late 1990’s, we as a country (in particular, the young) have slowly started to change our attitude to homeownership. We are moving to a more European model, where people choose to rent in their 20’s and 30’s (meaning they can move freely and not be tied to a property), then inherit money in their 50’s when their property owning parents pass away, allowing them to buy property themselves … just like they do in Germany and other sophisticated and mature European counties, meaning his daughter will end up owning property, just later in life than we did. So, whatever the vote on the 23rd of June, if you think about it, we might be more European than we think! www.dundeepropertyblog.co.uk
